One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. In 2018, Trumps zero tolerance immigration policy shook liberals and conservatives alike as they learned about terrified children being ripped from the arms of parents who were now being prosecuted. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. The level of positive coverage was roughly on par with that of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, but lower than for Barack Obama with all four higher than Trump. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). Outlets with left-leaning or mixed audiences, on the other hand, gave greatest attention to the economy and to health care, each of which was the focus of 18% or more of stories for both media groups, while immigration amounted to 8% and 10% for each. Much of both Trump and Bidens border strategies are predicated on the notion that if the US government erects enough barriers and gets rid of enough incentives, people will stop trying to come. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Nonvoters in 2020 were more closely divided on partisanship than they were in 2016. Vaccine distribution was the one storyline the groups with media diets on the left or tending left had heard considerably more about than the right-only or tend-right groups. These topics and storylines were in turn grouped into three broad topic categories, in addition to an other category: Frame:When reporting a story about a specific topic, there are various frames that journalists can use to orient the narrative. All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). Still, a sizable share (43%) said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. The most infamous through-line between Trump and Bidens approaches to people arriving at the US-Mexico border today has been both administrations controversial use of a health law to deny millions of migrants and would-be asylum seekers the opportunity to ask for protection, seemingly in violation of their rights domestically and internationally. Many stuck in Mexico because of Title 42 have subsequently been murdered, raped or kidnapped, with more than 13,480 reports of violent attacks during Bidens presidency alone. Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Voters leaning to Biden said Trump could win them back if he were to show empathy, stop tweeting, and act like a president. Overall, one-in-four 2020 voters (25%) had not voted in 2016. Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out Voters like that Trump is not a politician The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. For more details, see the methodology. These shares were reversed among absentee and mail-in voters: 65% of absentee voters said they voted for Biden, compared with 33% who voted for Trump. In response to President Trump, Biden say's "these kids came with parents.. separated them at the border to make it a disincentive to come to begin . The reality is more nuanced, with a long history of bad approaches to humanitarian migration across presidents and some positive moves toward solutions from Biden, bolstered by a different rhetoric, new alternative legal pathways and attempts at more efficient processing. Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. Given the change in the media landscape, we used the seven sampled media organizations that have persisted since 1993: the nightly evening news on ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS, as well as the print editions of The New York Times, The Washington Post and Newsweek across the first 60 days for each of the five presidencies. Validated voters are citizens who told us in a post-election survey that they voted in the 2020 general election and have a record for voting in a commercial voter file. Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. President Trump has offensive reactions to events Most voters think schools should open in the fall and have face-to-face teaching News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. The Trump administration invoked Title 42 ostensibly as a public health measure during the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic and used it to quickly expel hundreds of thousands of people including nearly 16,000 unaccompanied children. Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). The economy and immigration are the topics with the highest shares saying they are not getting enough attention (44% and 43%, respectively). Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Catholics made up similar shares of Biden and Trump voters (19% and 22%, respectively); in 2016, Catholics made up a slightly higher share of Trump voters compared with Clinton voters (23% vs. 18%). Yet parallels exist. Indeed, the virus outbreak was mentioned as a major or minor component in 72% of all stories about the Biden administration, including nearly every health care story and 96% of all economy stories, as well as other topic areas. Voters in the youngest adult generations today Generation Z (those ages 18 to 23 in 2020) and the Millennial generation (ages 24 to 39 in 2020) favored Biden over Trump by a margin of 20 percentage points, though Trump gained 8 points among Millennials compared with his 2016 performance. A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). Perhaps reflecting the enduring impact of this long-term age gap, voters ages 30 to 49 were also solidly in the Democratic candidates camp in 2020, favoring Biden by 12 points (55%-43%), similar to Clintons share among this age group. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. People were then organized into five media diet groups based on the audience of the outlets they frequent. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. Its unclear what Biden has done in the past 40+ years to help heal race issues Other Democrats are younger and nimbler, but Biden has been a better president than many expected - and he could be Donald Trump's nemesis again Fri 14 Apr 2023 07.00 EDT Last modified on Fri . Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. Voters would much rather Trump let his work speak for him Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. It also draws on surveys conducted among 10,640 panelists from Nov. 7-16, 2018, after the midterm election that year and 4,183 panelists from Nov. 29 to Dec. 12, 2016, after the general election. Biden is the lesser of two evils The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. However, as with voters overall, there was a substantial age divide within this group. In addition to the analysis of the media coverage of the early days of the Biden administration, this project, for the first time, includes a survey component designed to study Americans sense of the news coverage of the new administration based on their different media diets. That pattern emerged in a number of different aspects of coverage of the Biden administrations first 60 days from the topics of stories to the sources cited in those stories. Wizbang Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, Polls and Bad Sausage: Another Look at the Business of Polling. Trump . There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). In 2016, about half of Clintons voters described their communities as suburban (48%), while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. Stay where you are and apply legally from there.. Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. That gap narrowed to a 17-point margin for Trump in 2020 (57% to 40%). Biden looks stupid for attacking monuments and historical figures who are long gone This includes all mentions of him, but not of other individuals such as his family members and former administration members or of references to his administration broadly. Some of the largest differences between voters and nonvoters are seen on education and income. Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. Everyone who completed the survey is a member of the Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). Those who get political news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences vary about a third (34%) say they see their news sources covering immigration the most, 27% say this of the coronavirus outbreak and 21% say the U.S. economy gets the most coverage from their sources. At the same time, White voters with a college degree made up a larger share of Biden voters (34%) than Trump voters (27%). Without such broad support for Trump among White evangelicals, Biden would have beaten him by more than 20 points. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Trump was counting on drawing blood with his attacks on Biden's family, making this into a controversy that finally pulls his front-running opponent back to earth. Ideological divisions within the parties were also apparent in the vote, with both Trump and Biden doing better among the ideological core of their parties. The global water storage systems market is likely to reach value of USD 24.36 Billion by 2027, according to a current analysis by Emergen Research. Voters think Biden may stabilize the country (For more details, see Methodology.). For those unfamiliar with the term, SWOT refers to Strength/Weakness/Opportunities/Threats, and is used to help business planners understand their condition and situation in context. Gen Z is defined here as voters born between 1997 and 2002, Millennials were born between 1981 and 1996, Gen Xers were born between 1965 and 1980, Baby Boomers were born between 1946 and 1964, and members of the Silent Generation were born between 1928 and 1945. Economy - "The economy has comeroaring back to life underPresident Trump. Among other types of sources, though, there were some shifts in the rate at which they made their way into stories. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. Then, 74% of all stories were oriented around his character and leadership, compared with only about one-quarter (26%) framed around his ideology and policy agenda. Who's ahead in all? This analysis joins a growing body of research seeking to achieve a more accurate assessment of the 2020 election, each based on somewhat different sources of data.2 Different methods and data sources have unique strengths and weaknesses, meaning that specific estimates are likely to vary among the studies and no single resource can be considered definitive. In The Times' latest average, President Biden's favorable rating is 44% and his unfavorable rating is 52% a positive net of about -8 percentage points. Here are the questions used for this report and its methodology. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? See Methodology for details. Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. Bidens immigration promises fall short as some of Trumps policies remain in place heres whats similar and whats different. So are Bidens border policies turning into a copy of Trumps? It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Americans in the mixed media group are also most likely to say the pandemic is getting the most attention from their main news sources (53%), with the economy next at 21%. Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. On April 13, 2021, after the survey, the CDC recommended. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. Trump beats Biden, Harris in 2024 match-ups: poll. He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. For example, in 2020, nearly half of Biden voters (49%) were younger than 50; that compares with 39% of Trump voters in 2020. Meanwhile, even as officials publicly argue against reliance on the policy, they have expanded its use multiple times, abruptly, to target Venezuelans and now also Nicaraguans, Haitians and Cubans. Among white women with a college degree, support for Biden was on par with support for Clinton in 2016 (59%-40% in 2020). Update (Oct. 8): Updated with Biden's continued refusal to clarify his stance on court packing. Americans compare presidents all the time. Zero,". Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. Biden did considerably better among suburban voters in 2020 than Clinton did in 2016 (54% for Biden, 45% for Clinton). Voters were nearly evenly divided on party affiliation, with 50% identifying or leaning Democratic and 48% identifying or leaning Republican, similar to the 51%-48% split in 2016. Voters in the swing states have said that if protests continue right up to the election, that hurts Trumps chances of re-election However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. Given the unusual circumstances of the Trump-Biden transition, with Trump still contesting the election results, it is perhaps unsurprising that Trump himself was mentioned in about half the stories about the new Biden administration. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. In 2020, suburban voters made up a majority of Bidens coalition (55%); 28% of his voters said they lived in urban areas and 17% were from rural areas. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. Protestants constituted nearly half of all voters (46%), as they did in 2016. A SWOT analysis of Trump vs. Clinton Opinion Jul 08, 2016 Analytics Government Competitive assessment takes the publicly known attributes of a product and compares it to its competition.. When it comes to the tone of coverage, both new administrations received more negative assessments than positive assessments of their activities. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). Donald Trump is already signaling that he will run for president in 2024. This survey was conducted March 8-14, 2021, before the fatal shooting of six Asian women and two other people in the Atlanta area on March 16 and before the trial of Derek Chauvin began on March 29. These patterns also are apparent when the lens is shifted to birth cohorts, or generations groups of voters who share birth years and perhaps formative political experiences in common, such as the popularity of the president at the time they were first eligible to vote. The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. 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